The Elusive Black Male Vote in the 2024 Election

Middle-aged Black men in Pennsylvania, particularly union members, represent a crucial yet elusive voting demographic in the upcoming 2024 election. Interviews conducted with individuals in Philadelphia reveal a sense of disillusionment towards political leaders and the electoral process itself. “Whatever president we’ve had in office for the past 42 years, they’ve never affected anything in my household,” remarked Desmond Chandler, 43, articulating a sentiment echoed by many in his community.
Chandler’s companion, Mike Gray, expressed similar frustrations. He criticized Vice President Kamala Harris, labeling her a “puppet for the white people,” while simultaneously rejecting former President Donald Trump due to his business practices and divisive rhetoric. The conversations with these voters highlight a broader trend: Black male voters, particularly those aged 18 to 49, represent a key demographic that political campaigns are striving to engage, yet their enthusiasm remains muted.
Recent polling suggests that while Harris is poised to secure a significant majority of the Black vote—82% according to a Howard University survey—there remains an urgency to galvanize this critical demographic. Harris needs to amplify her support among Black voters to mirror President Biden’s success in the 2020 election. This effort is particularly important in key cities like Philadelphia, Atlanta, and Detroit, where large Black populations can sway election outcomes.
Polls indicate that Black men in the pivotal 18 to 49 age group are Harris’s weakest link, with support at only 75% compared to 16% for Trump, as revealed in the Howard survey. While the gap might seem minor, in a tight election, every percentage point can prove decisive. The Biden-Harris campaign previously succeeded in boosting Black voter turnout by intensifying outreach efforts in the final weeks of the election cycle, a strategy they will likely employ again.
Supporters of Harris often cite concerns about Trump’s character and express confidence in her economic policies, which they believe would better serve working-class families. Conversely, doubts surrounding Harris’s candidacy primarily stem from concerns about inflation and her past as a prosecutor. Some voters even question her racial identity—a tactic employed by Trump to sow division.
Gray, a construction foreman, has voted Democrat in the past but is uncertain about his decision this election cycle, citing frustrations over inflation, particularly concerning childcare costs. His awareness of Biden and Harris’s initiatives appears limited, highlighting a gap in communication that the campaign needs to bridge effectively.
For many younger Black voters, cynicism towards politics prevails. Brian Clark, a 32-year-old security guard, expressed his disillusionment, stating, “It’s like a big game,” while Cassius Martello, 23, added, “It’s just about one placebo or the other placebo.” These sentiments reflect a broader disconnection from the political process, particularly among younger Black men, who are less likely to vote.
Despite these challenges, older Black voters generally show stronger support for Harris. Many view her candidacy as a significant milestone in representation. Robert Mitchell, 65, criticized the notion that any Black man would consider supporting Trump, highlighting the ongoing issues of racial equity and the implications for future generations.
Discussions surrounding Harris’s identity further complicate her support among Black men. Ivan Turnipseed, 55, noted resistance to Harris’s candidacy, influenced by cultural norms around gender roles. Yet, he and other supporters emphasize the need for unity and empowerment within the community.
As the election approaches, both the Biden and Harris campaigns must confront these complexities, focusing on effective outreach and engagement to ensure a strong turnout among Black male voters. Despite current polling indicating a significant lead for Harris, the true challenge lies in motivating and mobilizing voters like Chandler and Gray, who feel disconnected from the political process. Their perspectives will be crucial as the election unfolds, potentially shaping the future of the Democratic Party’s engagement with this vital demographic.